A recent Quinnipiac University national poll, as reported by The Hill, indicates a significant shift in the 2024 presidential election landscape, with President Joe Biden gaining a lead over former President Donald Trump. The poll shows Biden with a 6-point lead, a notable change from a previous poll in December where the match-up was deemed too close to call.
In the latest poll, Biden has secured 50 percent support among registered voters, surpassing Trump’s 44 percent. This marks a positive turn for Biden, who had 47 percent support in December, compared to Trump’s 46 percent. Notably, Biden also enjoys majority backing from independent voters, with 52 percent support compared to Trump’s 40 percent.
A key finding of the Quinnipiac poll is the growing gender gap in voter support. Biden’s support among women has risen to 58 percent, up from 53 percent in December. Conversely, Trump maintains steady support among men, with 53 percent backing him, a slight increase from 51 percent in the previous month.
Tim Malloy, a Quinnipiac University polling analyst, highlighted the significance of the gender gap. “The gender demographic tells a story to keep an eye on. Propelled by female voters in just the past few weeks, the head-to-head tie with Trump morphs into a modest lead for Biden,” Malloy commented.
In the Republican race, former United Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley remains a contender against Trump, banking on her electability and performing better against Biden in hypothetical match-ups. According to the same Quinnipiac poll, Haley leads Biden by 5 points in a head-to-head contest, with 47 percent support to Biden’s 42 percent. However, her lead diminishes when third-party candidates are considered.
The 2024 race is heating up with the South Carolina Democratic primary imminent, marking the commencement of the party’s presidential nominating cycle. Nevada and South Carolina will follow in the Republican nominating process.
The Quinnipiac poll, conducted on January 25-26 among 1,650 self-identified registered voters nationwide, has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.4 percentage points.